Utah hasn’t always been loved by a lot of the metrics out there, at least the last couple of seasons. Utah has largely out performed many projections and metrics, and if they do so again this next season, at least based off of these first S&P+ metrics, they’ll have a very nice season. The Utes are ranked by Bill Connelly 28th in the early S&P+ rankings. The rankings rank all 130 teams in the country, and per Bill’s article, this is how the metrics are built:
Recruiting is easy. I create a rating based on these two-year recruiting rankings. The recruiting-based projection makes up about a quarter of the overall S&P+ projection.
For returning production, I apply projected changes (based on each team’s returning offensive and defensive production, which are on different scales) to last year’s S&P+ averages.