As an obsessive math nerd, I love calculating things. I also love looking at efficiency more often than I look at volume. If I haven’t lost you yet, (two sentences might be a record for me!) know that what I’m going to be looking at today is done completely in jest.
A favorite among efficiency nuts is to project stats based on a per game or per snap efficiency metric. Eric Ebron, for instance, was on pace to have more catches than Anquan Boldin last season, but he played less games and therefore didn’t. Most of the time you take a volume stat (like total receptions) break it down into an efficiency stat (receptions per game), and then project it out over a set amount of time (a full 16-game season). It’s pretty simple, but it normally gives you realistic results. Projecting single game statistics over an entire season? Maybe a bit less realistic.

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