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Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State


Andrew Aziz

Derek Carr is an underrated prospect with great poise and a strong arm. He can become a very good quarterback in the NFL.

Height: 6'2

Weight: 215 lbs.

40 Time: 4.68

Class: Redshirt SR

Strengths

  • He is a very motivated individual that will push others that achieve their potential. He makes players around him better.
  • He has an extremely quick delivery and gets the ball to his target quickly. In an offense that utilizes receiver screen passes, he got the ball to their guys in a blink.
  • He has improved dramatically in terms of accuracy (jumped up 3% from last season).
  • He reads the field well (before the play) and will make adjustments.
  • When his mechanics are good, he's one of the best deep ball passes in the country and gets great elevation on the ball.
  • He gets into position quickly off the snap and can fire the ball off almost immediately.
  • He can make every throw and is very impressive when it comes to throws to the outside (deep outs, corners, etc).
  • He knows how to command his offense.
  • He sets up in his base quickly off the snap.

Weaknesses

  • He throws off his back foot way too often and in turn, cannot get enough zip on the ball.
  • He takes a lot of big risks (although his passes are rarely intercepted) and on certain plays, will not go through his progressions.
  • He does not have great pocket mobility and cannot extend plays.
  • He's a little on the thin side and will have to bulk up in the NFL. He took a lot of hits in college, some of which looked pretty scary.
  • His mechanics affect his deep ball passing ability. Bad mechanics (sloppy footwork, weird release) = terrible deep ball passing.
  • He does not anticipate things well and has gotten in some trouble at times.

Injury History

  • Played with sports hernia injury that required surgery.
  • Has not missed a game in his career.

Notes

  • His offense utilizes a lot of screen and short passes, which could inflate his stats.
  • Always claps before he snaps the ball, which is something to watch going forward.
  • He is the brother of David Carr, who was selected 1st overall in 2002, and later became a bust.

Summary

Carr is a talented player that will get a lot of attention come draft time. He will most likely fight it out with Johnny Manziel for the #2 quarterback spot in the draft, and wlll be a first round pick. He's a talented, unorthodox quarterback that can make some noise at the next level. He just needs to fix some mechanical issues and must make smarter decisions, and he'll be ok.

Carr had a nice Senior bowl performance, where he showed great efficiency and a great arm, throwing 50+ yards down the field on a flea flicker. He helped his stock a lot with that performance and established himself as a probable first round pick.

NFL Comparison: Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions

Like Stafford, Carr makes a lot of throws from his back foot and from different bases. He's unorthodox and has a few different types of throwing motions. They have almost identical release times and can make all the throws.


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Matt Ryan at best case scenario is who this guy is.... Not the biggest fan.

 

Ryan has 2 pro bowls, playoffs in all his seasons but this one, 4000+ passer, 28+ TDs on 3 different occasions, 24 game winning drives and 17 comebacks.

 

That's a pretty good scenario if you ask me. Not saying he'll be like that, but if he ends up like Ryan, the team he's with should be happy.

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His 3rd down conversion percentage, number of tipped passes at the LOS, and number of screens they run are the only things that scare me right now with Derek Carr. Cannon arm, quick release, can climb the pocket, and displays great accuracy to all portions of the field. The Jay Cutler and Matthew Stafford comparison are thrown out there a lot for him. I think he is a poorer man's version of those two, but not far behind.

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His 3rd down conversion percentage, number of tipped passes at the LOS, and number of screens they run are the only things that scare me right now with Derek Carr. Cannon arm, quick release, can climb the pocket, and displays great accuracy to all portions of the field. The Jay Cutler and Matthew Stafford comparison are thrown out there a lot for him. I think he is a poorer man's version of those two, but not far behind.

Terrible showing so far in the Las Vegas Bowl.

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